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Analysis of the Value at Risk (VaR) of a Portfolio of 4 Shares - Essay Example
Author : lancehoppe
Finance & Accounting
Pages 18 (4518 words)
The main objective of the current study is to review and assess the performance of the important methodologies of the univariate Value at Risk (VaR), by giving special importance to the underlying statements and to consider the logical flaws…
This research will begin with the introduction of Value-at-Risk (VaR) as an established method for measuring market risk is an element of the advancement of risk management. The relevance of VaR has been extensive from its early use in security houses to profit-making banks and business and from marketplace risk to credit risk. Subsequent to the foreword in October 1994 by the Risk metrics by JP Morgan, the VaR is an assessment of the worst estimated failure that a firm may bear over a stage of time that has been particular by user, under standard market circumstances and a specific level of assurance. This evaluation may be attained in various ways, by means of a numerical model or by Computer calculated models. VaR is a calculation of market risk. It is the highest loss which can happen by incurring N % confidence above the property period of n days. VaR is the predictable loss of a portfolio over a particular time stage for a lay down level of probability. For instance, if every day VaR is declared as £100,000 to a 95% level of confidence and throughout the day there is simply a 5% probability, then the next day loss is better than £100,000. VaR dealings the potential failure in market value of a portfolio by means of expected instability and correlation. The “correlation” is considered as the correlation that is present between the market value of diverse appliance in a bank’s portfolio. VaR is considered inside a given confidence gap, typically 95% or 99%; it seeks to compute the probable losses from a place or portfolio under various normal situations. ...