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In determining program impact on the incidence of particular types of crimes, according to Davies et al 1998, obtaining quantitative data using an experimental or strong quasi-experimental design would seem the most fruitful method to use. Crime increased markedly in England and Wales throughout the years of a Conservative government (1979-1997) and discourses on crime both then and since has been dominated by the need for ever tougher and punitive sanctions (Simmons et al 2003, p…

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11). The British Crime Survey (BCS) estimated 2,708,000 violent incidents occurred against adults in England and Wales (Dodd et al 2004, p. 67), which, overall, is a decrease of 36% in crime since 1995 (p. 67). However, in 2004 BCS report also noted that violent crime has stabilized (p. 67)). The police recorded 1,109,017 violent incidents, which is a 12% increase since 2002/2003, partly attributed to the implementation of the NCRS (p. 67), increases in the reporting of crime by the general public, increases in police activity, and improvements in recording crime (p. 69)
For more than a quarter of a century, from 1969 to 1996, burglary and theft accounted consistently for about half of all recordable offences in England and Wales. The peak was reached in 1992 when they made up 52 percent of recorded crime. By 2004-5 the four types of theft accounted collectively 30% of all crime, according to British Crime Survey report (Home Office 2007).
During the time period under study, there was a steady increase in robberies with two peaks followed by sharp declines occurring in 1996 and ...
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