Finally, the report includes a personal recommendation from the author, and a hypothetical recommendation from the owner of the Dallas Mavericks Basketball Club, Mark Cuban.
Real GDP is forecast to contract by 2.6% in 2009 as the financial crisis and the housing downturn take their toll on domestic demand. Massive fiscal and monetary stimulus will lead to a recovery of growth to 1.4% in 2010.
Average consumer price inflation is set to turn negative in 2009 as a result of declining commodity prices. Inflation should turn positive again in 2010, but will remain low owing to the massive slack in the economy.
The Feds forecasts show that its staff now expects the unemployment rate to rise to between 9.2% and 9.6% this year. The central bank had forecast in January that the jobless rate would be in a range of 8.5% to 8.8%, but the unemployment rate topped that in April, hitting 8.9%.
I believe the stock market will recover to pre-crash numbers by April of 2010. From there, prices should remain stable because investors will still be a little skeptical, and then rise at about 15% for three years to follow.
Discussion: The results seem to indicate that Middleby Corporation’s financial progression is well directed into the future; yet, it’s also clear that if a stock purchase is not made in the immediate future it could soon become overvalued. These finds, supplemented by the previous report, constitute substantial analytical information. The information demonstrates to a reasonable level that the company will continue its positive growth for the following five years. For current and prospective investors, the historical data demonstrates that the stock will increase at a minimal level.
In regards to the market forecast and contemporary economic trends, my recommendation is to retain the stock. The company seems to have a strong foundation and will continue to grow. The industry is thriving, and the company is excelling