Previous years saw a big rise in the number of, jet-airliner crashes. Worse lies ahead. That is spurring a new approach to air safety. When the manufacturers of the greatest numbers of aircrafts mentions that there could be a major air crash once a week by end of 2010, then the time is arrived to start worrying: Boeing has no commercial interest in exaggerating the threat that hangs over aviation. But Boeings bleak forecast has been echoed by others, including the head of Americas Federal Aviation Administration. The steady improvement in airline safety is about to come to an end. In this paper potential areas of improvement and how Aviation Safety Programs can gain its own advantage in the aviation industry will be discussed.
Last decade was a particularly bad one for air disasters. Amongst a lot it saw the ValuJet crash in a Florida swamp (killing it), the explosion that blew flight TWA 800 out of the sky off Long Island (killing 230) and a disastrous mid-air collision near New Delhi in India (killing 349) On average, a jet was written off every 9.8 days.
As per statistics gathered by Air claims, an aviation-insurance consultancy, there were 75 accidents that completely broke commercial aircraft (jets and small turboprops). These figures include the former Soviet Union. Crashes of big jet airliners-the kind nervous flyers have nightmares about-have raised from an average of 20.6 a year in the 1990s to 25 in the West, and from six a year in the 1990s to 12 in the former Soviet Union.
That pushes up the fatality figures. Air claims suggests that "We may now be seeing the early stages of a gradual increase in the annual number of total losses, with the average for the 1990s being generally some10% up on the late 1970s and the 1980s." (Lengrath, 4)
Before cancelling their next trip, nervous passengers ought to bear in mind that a rise in the absolute number of fatal crashes is not