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Analyzing Inductive Arguments - Essay Example

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All in all, biasness towards a candidate results in a deviating opinion poll that presets results that are far from the reality on the ground. One of the main question asked in the two polls is “whom would you vote as your president?” among other questions. Rasmussen had a sample population of 1000 people each day, to make about 3000 in a three day rolling average (Paulson, 2012). On the other hand, Pew Research had a sample size of 3,815 voters in a poll conducted between Oct 31 and Nov 3 (Kohut, Dorothy and Keeter, 2012). Both the polls were therefore carried out at close dates towards the election date. The Pew research survey included both females and males between the ages of 18 years and above 55 years, and was carried out through the phone. Rasmussen poll was on the other hand carried out in a face to face interview. The methodology used by Pew Research involved phone interview of 3815 adult American citizens in all the states of America. 2262 respondents were interviewed on a landline phone, while the rest 1553 respondents were interviewed through a cell phone. This includes the 784 respondents who owned both a telephone and a mobile phone (Kohut, Dorothy and Keeter, 2012). ...
Rasmussen on the other hand conducted field work interviews through the Pulse Opinion Research LLC (Paulson, 2012), using an automated polling system, which implies the use of a single voice that has been recorded digitally, and is used to conduct interviews. This is aimed at ensuring every respondent hears

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the same question In Pew research survey, the probability for bias was eliminated as much as possible. The phone survey ensured that the interviewer and interviewee were not in contact, and the data collected actually implied the respondent’s position. Subjective or perception factors could not have significantly affected the interview, which only lasted for few minutes through a phone. The sample population is on the other hand very large ensuring elimination of biasness in the polling process. However, in the Rasmussen face to face data collection, subjectivity and judging of personality may have contributed to some degree of errors in data collection. This is because; personal judgment by the interviewer could lead to wrong conclusions contrary the implication of the interviewee response,. The sample size was also a bit smaller which could also affect the biasness of the final result. The polls in Rasmussen case were mainly conducted in the swing vote areas of Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire and this could have increased the biasness of the results. The target population in the two cases is similar. In the Pew Research study, the target population is the American people; anyone beyond the age of 18, and has the right to vote in America. Moreover, the target population may be explained as the supporters of the two presidential candidates who were instrumental in
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Name: Course: Date: Analyzing Inductive Arguments In the history of America, presidential polls have attracted dozens of opinion polls that aim at investigating the trend of politics, and the final most likely decision the voters would most likely make in the polls…
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