Election 2008: Political Prognostication - Essay Example

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Election 2008: Political Prognostication

Election 2008: Political Prognostication

The choice between John McCain and Barak Obama could not be more clearly defined along the lines of ideology, health and welfare policy, foreign policy, age, race, and experience. Recent polls have reflected this clarity of choice as they have shown a wide difference that has favored Obama. People are faced with myriad problems, both real and imagined, and both camps have capitalized on fear in an attempt to steer voters to their ticket. Promises are made as charges and counter-charges press the hot-button issues of taxes and national security. McCain has relied heavily on his conservative appeal to the status quo of polar politics, while Obama's campaign has stuck to its message of change and unity. Clearly, the Obama strategy seems to be winning out. According to most of the major polls, if the election were held today the Democrats would sweep the series in a shutout of the executive and the legislative branch. However, polls do not elect the president as was seen in the 1948 Truman victory over Dewey, the inaccuracies of the Ohio exit polls in Kerry's 2004 loss, and the Clinton victory over Obama in the 2008 New Hampshire Democratic primary. While the polls give us some reason to believe that Barak Obama will be the president elect, the secret ballot brings into play the psychology of the thoughtful voter.Obama's substantial lead and apparent looming victory is at risk due to the unreliability of the polling data and the psychology of the American voter that will shift votes to the McCain column on Election Day. ...Show more

Summary

After almost two years of campaigning, political primaries that seemed to never end, endless political debates, and non-stop television advertising the public is on the verge of casting one of the most important votes in American history…
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Election 2008: Political Prognostication essay example
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