In th pst 20 yrs, th ntion's frtility rt hs droppd from 1.9 childrn pr womn to 1.4 - wll blow th rplcmnt lvl of two childrn pr coupl. Jpn continus its currnt bortion policis nd fils to ris its vrg birth rt of 1.4 childrn pr mrrid coupl, will hv fwr thn 500 popl by th yr 3000. This is not prophcy of th md um Shinrikyo cult, but rthr pronouncmnt of Jpn's Ministry of Hlth nd Wlfr.
Jpn's popultion not only is ging, it will soon strt to shrink rpidly. In th pst 20 yrs, th ntion's frtility rt hs droppd from 1.9 childrn pr womn to 1.4 - wll blow th rplcmnt lvl of two childrn pr coupl (Nohiro).
ccounting for mor thn hlf of this frtility dclin r two trnds: Young popl r mrrying ltr in lif, nd th proportion who nvr mrry is rising rpidly. Btwn 1975 nd 1995, th mn g t mrrig incrsd from 25 to 28 yrs for womn nd from 28 to 31 yrs for mn, mking Jpn on of th ltst-mrrying popultions in th world. By 2010, th proportion still singl t g 50 is projctd to rch 10 prcnt for womn nd 20 prcnt for mn - fr cry from Jpn's univrsl-mrrig socity of rlir yrs. Svrl conomic, socil nd culturl fctors ccount for ths trnds (Nohiro).
Longr schooling of womn tnds to dly mrrig, s dos pid mploymnt, which provids young, unmrrid womn with msur of finncil indpndnc tht rducs prssur to mrry rly.